JUNE VISA BULLETIN: ANALYSIS AND PREDICTIONS

The Department of State has just issued the June 2019 Visa Bulletin. This is the ninth Visa Bulletin of Fiscal Year 2019. This blog post analyzes this month's Visa Bulletin. 

June 2019 Visa Bulletin

Table A: Final Action Dates -- Applications with these dates may be approved for their Green Card (Permanent Residency card) or Immigrant Visa appointment.

  

EB  Class	All Other	CHINA	INDIA	PHILIPPINES
EB-1	22APR18	22FEB17	01JAN15	22APR18
EB-2	C	01AUG16	19APR09	C
EB-3	C	15SEP15	01JUL09	01NOV18

Table B: Dates for Filing -- The DOS may work on applications with these dates. But the Visa cannot be approved until the date is current per Table A.

EB  Class	All Other	CHINA	INDIA	PHILIPPINES
EB-1	01SEP18	01OCT17	01OCT17	01SEP18
EB-2	C	01NOV16	01JUN09	C
EB-3	C	01JAN16	01APR10	01JAN19

  

MU Law Analysis (all references are to Table A unless noted)

All Other: The EB-1 category moved about 7 weeks.  We expect continued steady movement in this category for All Other.  We do not see any retrogression in the future for EB2 or EB3, other than the usual retrogression at the end of the Fiscal Year.

China: China EB-2 moved 2+ months, moving more than one year so far in 2019’s calendar months.  EB-3 moved ahead half as fast – about three weeks -- which reflects continued demand in EB-3, likely related to the many EB-3 “downgrades”.  EB-2 remains superior to EB-3.

India: There was very little movement in any of the Indian categories.  EB-1 will almost surely not move in FY 2019.  We do not expect any significant Indian movement this fiscal year.  Longer term, we are slightly more optimistic about India EB-3, which should progress faster than EB-2.

Philippines: The EB-3 date leaped again.  It should be into 2019 shortly, and we do not expect any retrogression in the near future.