Wednesday, April 12, 2017

MAY 2017 VISA BULLETIN: DETAILED ANALYSIS AND PREDICTIONS

The Department of State has just issued the May 2017 Visa Bulletin.  This is the eight Visa Bulletin of Fiscal Year 2017.  This blog post analyzes this month's Visa Bulletin.

May 2017 Visa Bulletin

Final Action Dates

Applications with these dates may be approved for their Green Card (Permanent Residency card).

Employ-
ment
based
All Charge-
ability 
Areas Except
Those Listed
CHINA-
mainland 
born
INDIA
MEXICO  
PHILIPPINES  
1st
C
C
C
C
C
2nd
C 
08FEB13
22JUN08
C
C
3rd
15MAR17 
01OCT14
25MAR05 
15MAR17 
01JAN13


MU Law Analysis

All Other:  The EB-2 has been current for many years.  The EB-3 progression continues, moving an additional one month.  Consular processed EB-3 are effectively current.

China:   The China EB-2 date again moved up, but only a few weeks. The China EB-3 again date progressed about six weeks.  This was a smaller progression than the last few Visa Bulletins.  The China EB-3 continues to have a more favorable date than EB-2, as a result of many historical Chinese EB-3 workers "upgrading" their applications to EB-2.

India:  EB-2 India moved up about one day, which is the first one day progression that I can recall.  EB-3 India stayed the same, unfortunately.  

Mexico: Mirrors All Other in all aspects.

Philippines: EB-3 moved ahead by nearly four more months.  The Philippine EB-3 number essentially cleaned out all of the 2010, 2011, and 2012 EB-3 visas in about 6 months.  This is even more positive than we expected.  (Our note from September 2016: "This is consistent with internal MU Law analysis which sees this category progressing into 2013 by the Summer of 2017.").  

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34 comments:

  1. SonApril 12, 2017 at 11:31 AM

    Thank you MU.Do you think EB - 3 Philippines will reach 2014 PDS before October,2017?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. MU LawApril 12, 2017 at 4:58 PM

      I think it will.

      Delete
    2. safe havenApril 12, 2017 at 5:25 PM

      Hi MU! Wen do you think my pd april 2016 under eb3 phils wil possibly get current ? Thank you

      Delete
    3. MU LawApril 13, 2017 at 9:27 AM

      Sometime in 2019.

      Delete
  2. UnknownApril 12, 2017 at 11:32 AM

    This comment has been removed by the author.

    ReplyDelete
  3. James CruzApril 12, 2017 at 12:20 PM

    Hi MU! now that the PD reached 2013 according to your prediction last sept 2016, what do you think will be the next trend for EB-3 PD?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. MU LawApril 12, 2017 at 5:00 PM

      Continued aggressive date movement through Phils EB-3 2013 and 2014.

      Delete
  4. MichaelApril 12, 2017 at 12:25 PM

    Hi Mu. My PD is April 10, 2013 EB3-Philipppines. Do you think it will be current on June Visa Bulletin? Thanks

    ReplyDelete
  5. safe havenApril 12, 2017 at 5:30 PM

    Hi MU! When do you think my pd of april 2016 under eb3 phils might get currrent ? Thank you

    ReplyDelete
  6. UnknownApril 12, 2017 at 10:57 PM

    thank u for the post MU Law!

    ReplyDelete
  7. mmApril 13, 2017 at 4:01 AM

    This comment has been removed by the author.

    ReplyDelete
  8. mmApril 13, 2017 at 4:08 AM

    hi MU. I really appreciate your page especially for us waiting our visa to be current.may I ask when do you think my pd may 2015 under eb3 phil be current? thanks for the reply.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. MU LawApril 13, 2017 at 9:28 AM

      Thanks for the kind words, mm. I think in mid 2018.

      Delete
  9. UnknownApril 13, 2017 at 7:38 AM

    This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

    ReplyDelete
  10. HcrosApril 13, 2017 at 11:06 AM

    Hi mu law im from philippines and my PD is february 2015.. when do you think it will be current? Thanks!

    ReplyDelete
  11. UnknownApril 13, 2017 at 6:23 PM

    Hi sir, the filing of date moved to July 2014, does it mean that by the end of fiscal year it would reach by 2014 also? Thank you

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. MU LawApril 14, 2017 at 9:41 AM

      Hi Victor, I'm sorry. I don't understand your question.

      Delete
    2. UnknownApril 14, 2017 at 12:34 PM

      Sorry too sir, I mean is by the end of this fiscal year, dp u think it will reach 2014?

      Delete
  12. UnknownApril 13, 2017 at 11:19 PM

    What do you mean by "effectively current"?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. MU LawApril 14, 2017 at 9:42 AM

      Simply that there is a very tiny retrogression in those categories.

      Delete
  13. Anonymous17April 14, 2017 at 11:40 AM

    Hi MU Law,

    I remembered that in 2015, the trend was pretty similar wherein the processing dates moved forward aggressively until it massively retrogressed by 7 to 10 years. Do you foresee retrogression occurring again?

    Also i was one of those that was lucky enough to get EAD and Advance Parole before EB3 phil retrogressed in 2015 (PD May 2014). If and when my PD becomes current again...how long is the estimated waiting time to get the actual Green Card. Thank you MU law!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. MU LawApril 15, 2017 at 10:23 AM

      Other than the usual stoppage of visa processing in Aug/September, I do not expect any massive retrogression.

      See this post for Q&A on the Aug/Sept annual slowdowns/stoppages:
      http://www.musillo.com/2016/07/what-does-august-visa-bulletin-mean.html

      Delete
    2. MU LawApril 15, 2017 at 10:24 AM

      As for your second question, the USCIS is very inconsistent but they often are able to issue the GC within 30 days.

      Delete
  14. Sarvesh KulkarniApril 17, 2017 at 11:00 AM

    Do you think eb1c India will retrogress from June 1 or will it be July 1?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. MU LawApril 17, 2017 at 2:48 PM

      My guess is July 1. But that is just a guess.

      Delete
  15. DamonApril 24, 2017 at 7:12 PM

    Hi MU,
    Just would like to ask, my PD is November 2015.
    When do you think it will be current?
    Is there any possibility that it can be within this year?
    Thank you.

    ReplyDelete
  16. reginald surictJune 30, 2017 at 9:01 AM

    This comment has been removed by the author.

    ReplyDelete

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